Lebanon at the Edge of a Negotiated Breakdown

The negotiations between Tel Aviv, Washington, and Beirut do not yet amount to a peace process. They represent a coercive attempt to convert a military stalemate into a political rearrangement […]

Pashinyan’s explosive conflict strategy

Pashinyan uses the unfinished peace process with Azerbaijan as a tool of electoral survival: the rhetoric of war and peace constrains the opposition in the 2026 elections, while victory provides […]

Iran, Gibraltar and other enclaves of Hispanity

A persistent threat At the end of December 2023, Iran, through the mouth of the brigadier general of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IGRC) Mohammad Reza Naqdi, “Coordinator” of the […]

The Nuclear Umbrella Dilemma

On 2 March 2026, Emmanuel Macron crossed a threshold with far-reaching consequences when he spoke of extending France’s nuclear deterrent to the European level. Behind the technical jargon — ‘forward […]

The Western Empire: The Great Black Hole

The twilight of the Western Empire will be bloody, it will put the world on the brink of destruction. I speak of the Western Empire in the following sense: this […]