Forty days before the Israeli elections in which it will be decided whether Benjamin Netanyahu remains in power or not, it is worth taking stock of the situation, in the international aspect, to which this character has led his country; also asking whether, in the event of losing the elections, the new prime minister,  supposedly General Gadi Eisenkot would introduce changes or not.

Netanyahu was prime minister from 1996 to 1999, and has been prime minister from 2009 to the present. It can be said, therefore, that Israel’s international position today is practically due to him.

Netanyahu has managed to neutralize, in one way or another, all of Israel’s regional enemies; without, of course, hesitating to violate, and in a gross and constant manner, the most elementary human rights, even reaching, as in the case of Gaza, genocide; an order against him is still pending in The Hague.

Netanyahu met with recognition of Israel by Egypt (1979) and Jordan (1994), but he won recognition of the Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco in 2020 –Abraham Accords–; Qatar is missing within the Arabian Peninsula but, although relations are not official, they are unofficial, neither of them having any problem in having them, especially in relation to everything related to Hamas.

Relations with Turkey have deteriorated to extremes that have led Netanyahu to consider Ankara as a threat if the situation does not change; although since there is no physical border, he fears nothing on the military level. In reality, what Netanyahu fears is Turkey’s ascendancy and ambitions in the international sphere, especially its potential influence in the area, which has increased considerably.

The great trump card achieved by Netanyahu, as he has been the architect of it to a large extent, has been the elimination of Al Assad by replacing his regime with another that, although radical Islamist, is demonstrating a surprising pragmatism to the point that for the moment the “new” Syria has ceased to be Israel’s enemy par excellence; In addition, it has managed to get it to practically renounce the claim to the occupied Syrian territories and managed to almost completely dismantle the Palestinian or pro-Iranian militias that harassed the Israeli from its territory.

Netanyahu’s Israel still does not have diplomatic relations with Lebanon, although Tel Aviv has never been concerned about this situation since Lebanon does not count for Israel, hence its constant military incursions into its territory, a flagrant violation of the borders of a sovereign state that the international community does not care about either; in recent months even Israeli troops have reached the Litani River, taking practical control of southern Lebanon, that is, almost half of the country.

The case of Iran is special, since for the first time Israel has managed, if not to defeat Tehran as it would have wanted, to overthrow its current regime and replace it with another docile and submissive to its interests, then to leave the Iran of the ayatollahs isolated and practically absorbed in ensuring its own survival, having lost almost all the influence it possessed in the area through its militia.  Hezbollah, and also by Hamas.

As for the Palestinians, Netanyahu, through genocide, has wiped Gaza, Hamas’s main stronghold, off the political map. To make matters worse, Netanyahu’s support for aggressive Israeli settlers in the West Bank means that the area is no longer a threat to Israel.

In order to consolidate what has been achieved and even more to exploit the success achieved, which there is no doubt that from the Israeli point of view it must be recognized, that is, the practical neutralization of all its regional enemies, although the human and material cost for the Israelis has been very high, Netanyahu has already launched two actions that according to him should lead Israel to achieve not only regional peace, but also  not only because of its military domination of the area, but also because of the birth of Greater Israel, which if achieved would allow Israel to expand its influence to other regions of the world, turning it into the global power that Netanyahu and his followers or allies consider to belong to them as “God’s chosen people” to govern the planet.

On the one hand, Netanyahu systematically blocks the dialogue process to reach a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, for this, the proposal of the “Peace Council” – which seeks with Hamas to establish a route to stability and whose main points included the cessation of military operations, the withdrawal of Israeli forces and the regulation of the disarmament and stockpiling of weapons of the Palestinian organization and defined the basis for the administration and reconstruction of the territory — is systematically rejected by Netanyahu, whose alternative demands a total ban on Hamas’ stockpiling of weapons, as well as rejects a definitive suspension of its military operations, offering as a supposed gesture of goodwill to include Turkey and Qatar in the committee in charge of verifying compliance with the agreement. As you can imagine, what Netanyahu intends is impossible, something that he knows but that is part of his strategy of maintaining tension in the area as long as he is the one who controls it.

For the above, Netanyahu does not care about the two million people trapped there in a cycle of violence with no solution in sight, the extreme conditions in which they survive, the forced and massive displacements to which they are forced, the lack of basic food supplies and the consequent spread of diseases for which there is no minimum health infrastructure due to the destruction inflicted.  as well as the absolute lack of prospect of reconstruction of that area in the face of the same lack of prospects of reaching a real, reliable and stable peace agreement that of course Netanyahu does not want and will always try to prevent.

On the other hand, and although many continue to believe that it is not real, Netanyahu fuels the considerable increase in Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, thus protecting the claims of a Greater Israel that constitutes the fundamental element of his most radical partners, who defend that the West Bank is an irreplaceable part of the Israeli national project so that the entire area must become directly and totally dependent on the authority of the State of Israel, for which, as has been said, neither they nor Netanyahu hesitate to sponsor settler violence by facilitating the siege, isolation and aggression of the Palestinian communities that have always existed there in order to expel them or, if necessary, annihilate them. 

If Netanyahu were to win the elections next September and remain in power, which he would have to do again with his current partners since he will never get an absolute majority, there is no doubt that Netanyahu will accelerate the processes he already has underway, that is, wipe the Palestinians of Gaza off the map without any hesitation.  and occupy the West Bank; for this he would count, even if it were “keeping his manners” in the face of the international gallery, on the US, as it has always counted even in its genocide on the Gazans.

Thus, we may be witnessing the birth of a new world power because if it achieves what has been said, Netanyahu’s Israel will also encourage its globalist ambitions, which are not a fantasy, but a clear reality, since it has already taken the first steps in Africa, especially via Morocco, and in America, hand in hand with Milei and now with Espriella.

As for his opponent, General Gadi Eisenkot, if he wins the elections, not only because he would depend on others, but also because although he tries to disguise it for electoral reasons he presents a more moderate face, it does not seem that he will vary much or even anything from Netanyahu’s approaches and ambitions, only, perhaps, in the forms and times.